Algosys College Basketball

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UT Arlington

2023 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for UT Arlington, 2023: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Chendall Weaver75.8%-1.5range -2.4 to -0.6Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.5 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kyron Gibson71.4%-0.9range -1.8 to -0.0Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Marion Humphrey65.3%-2.7range -3.7 to -1.0Sufficient evidence+1.4range +0.8 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Aaron Cash55.7%-0.6range -1.6 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+1.8range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Brandon Walker47.2%-1.0range -2.1 to -0.0Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Shemar Wilson42.6%-1.2range -2.5 to +0.1Sufficient evidence+1.2range +0.9 to +1.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Pedro Castro39.3%-2.3range -3.7 to -1.2Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.6 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Brandyn Talbot35.0%+0.7range -0.1 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Montez Young Jr.21.1%-0.9range -2.1 to +0.2Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dario Domingos20.3%-2.6range -3.7 to -1.6Sufficient evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Taj Anderson20.0%-2.5range -3.3 to -1.7Limited evidence+0.5range +0.3 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Shaysten Cornish3.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Damonze Woods3.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cash Clayton0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

22 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (76%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 7 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days8
3 or more days18

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology