Algosys College Basketball

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Texas Tech

2023 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Texas Tech, 2023: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
De'Vion Harmon78.7%+2.9range +1.4 to +4.2Sufficient evidence+4.6range +3.8 to +5.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kevin Obanor76.9%+1.9range +1.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidence+4.1range +3.5 to +4.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jaylon Tyson70.8%+1.2range +0.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence+3.4range +2.9 to +4.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Pop Isaacs56.2%+1.4range +0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Daniel Batcho45.2%+0.5range -0.8 to +1.9Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Lamar Washington36.9%-0.8range -2.3 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+1.3range +0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kerwin Walton26.0%-0.7range -1.7 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Elijah Fisher25.7%-1.9range -2.9 to -0.8Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Fardaws Aimaq24.6%+1.9range +0.9 to +3.2Sufficient evidence+1.3range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
D'Maurian Williams20.8%-0.3range -1.5 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Robert Jennings19.8%-0.7range -1.6 to +0.2Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
KJ Allen17.6%+0.2range -1.3 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
CJ Williams0.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 2 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days2
3 or more days27

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology