Algosys College Basketball

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Oregon St

2023 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Oregon St, 2023: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Jordan Pope83.0%-0.3range -1.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence+2.3range +1.7 to +2.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Glenn Taylor Jr.75.0%-1.7range -2.8 to -0.3Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dexter Akanno67.2%-2.5range -3.4 to -1.3Sufficient evidence+1.3range +0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tyler Bilodeau52.2%+0.0range -1.3 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Michael Rataj52.1%+0.7range -0.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dzmitry Ryuny47.7%-0.4range -1.6 to +0.7Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Rodrigue Andela34.7%-1.3range -2.4 to -0.3Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Christian Wright24.6%-1.2range -2.1 to -0.3Sufficient evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
KC Ibekwe15.3%-1.3range -2.3 to -0.1Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Nick Krass14.6%-2.6range -3.3 to -1.8Limited evidence+0.3range +0.2 to +0.4Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jayden Stevens14.3%+0.1range -0.3 to +0.7Limited evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Chol Marial10.3%-0.8range -1.5 to -0.2Limited evidence+0.3range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Justin Rochelin9.0%-1.0range -1.8 to -0.2Limited evidence+0.2range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

26 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 5 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days8
3 or more days21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology