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Georgia Tech

2023 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Georgia Tech, 2023: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Miles Kelly83.3%+0.6range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence+3.5range +2.9 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dallan "Deebo" Coleman78.0%-1.8range -3.0 to -0.5Sufficient evidence+2.2range +1.5 to +3.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ja'von Franklin68.1%+2.4range +1.5 to +3.3Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.1 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Lance Terry66.5%+0.5range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kyle Sturdivant65.2%-0.3range -1.8 to +0.8Sufficient evidence+2.5range +1.8 to +3.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jalon Moore46.7%+0.8range -0.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Deivon Smith37.7%-0.6range -1.6 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Rodney Howard30.8%-1.4range -2.8 to -0.0Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.6 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tristan Maxwell14.6%-0.1range -1.2 to +1.1Limited evidence+0.6range +0.4 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Meka5.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Freds Pauls Bagatskis1.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cyril Martynov1.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Brayden Daniels0.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Coleman Boyd0.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jermontae Hill0.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

22 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (71%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 9 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days1
3 or more days28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology