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Columbia

2023 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Columbia, 2023: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa84.2%-1.5range -2.4 to -0.3Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Avery Brown75.0%-4.0range -5.1 to -2.8Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.3 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Blair Thompson58.1%-1.2range -2.2 to +0.2Sufficient evidence+1.2range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Zine Eddine Bedri50.5%-2.3range -3.2 to -1.5Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Josh Odunowo46.7%-1.6range -2.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kenny Noland46.4%-0.8range -2.2 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Zavian McLean42.9%-1.4range -2.8 to -0.1Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Liam Murphy28.2%-4.0range -5.3 to -2.6Sufficient evidence+0.3range +0.1 to +0.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jake Tavroff27.8%+0.3range -0.4 to +1.3Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Robbie Stankard13.7%-2.3range -2.9 to -1.7Limited evidence+0.2range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jaden Cooper10.2%-1.3range -1.9 to -0.6Limited evidence+0.2range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Noah Robledo9.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cameron Shockley-Okeke5.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Lukas Yurasits1.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Asa Shannon0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

21 of 27 games passed lineup acceptance (78%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 6 of 27 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day3
2 days3
3 or more days20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology