Johnny Kinziger
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
2720:38 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 89
- Minutes per game
- 30:34
- Points per game
- 11.9
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.9 / 2.7
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 11.9 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.6 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Season totals | 1058 | 262 | 238 | 94 | 14 | 151 | 156 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 351–814 | 43.1% | 9.1 | 12.0 |
| 2P | 198–392 | 50.5% | 4.4 | 5.8 |
| 3P | 153–422 | 36.3% | 4.7 | 6.2 |
| FT | 203–239 | 84.9% | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5% | 57.6% | 51.8% | 29.4% | 1.58 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Johnny Kinziger | Illinois St | 25 | 24:52 | 8.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 13.6 | 37.5% | 84.8% | 60.5% |
| 2025 Johnny Kinziger | Illinois St | 29 | 33:11 | 15.2 | 4.1 | 2.8 | 18.3 | 39.8% | 90.8% | 62.1% |
| 2026 Johnny Kinziger | Illinois St. | 35 | 32:28 | 11.6 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 14.3 | 32.6% | 77.4% | 52.1% |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Illinois St · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $77K
- 80% range $24K to $195K
- Median share of team pool
- 13.5%
- team pool $665K, 80% range $300K to $1.45M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $70K to $80K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $5K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 80.8%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Illinois St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Illinois St | $77Kspeculative | $24K to $195K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +1.5 | +0.5 to +2.7 | Sufficient evidence | +0.5 | +1.0 | +7.1range +6.3 to +7.9 | 3,719 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Illinois St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.9 | +1.2 to +2.8 | Sufficient evidence | +2.5 | -0.5 | +5.3range +4.7 to +6.0 | 3,028 | Season detail | |
| 2024 | Illinois St | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.6 | +0.5 to +2.8 | Sufficient evidence | +0.9 | +0.8 | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.8 | 1,933 | Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology