Makai Willis
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
589:08 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 53
- Minutes per game
- 11:07
- Points per game
- 4.0
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.5 / 0.3
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 4.0 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Per 40 minutes | 14.4 | 9.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2.9 | 5.3 |
| Season totals | 212 | 132 | 18 | 11 | 22 | 43 | 78 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 83–175 | 47.4% | 3.3 | 11.9 |
| 2P | 81–157 | 51.6% | 3.0 | 10.7 |
| 3P | 2–18 | 11.1%† | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| FT | 44–56 | 78.6% | 1.1 | 3.8 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 53.1% | 10.3% | 32.0% | 0.42 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Makai Willis | Fairfield | 2Few games | 2:23 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | — | — | — |
| 2023 Makai Willis | Fairfield | 21 | 9:45 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 7.6 | 15.4%† | 75.0%† | 44.6%† |
| 2026 Makai Willis | Texas St. | 30 | 12:39 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 18.2 | 0.0%† | 78.8% | 55.5% |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Texas St · Low and other · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $10K
- 80% range $1K to $38K
- Median share of team pool
- 4.2%
- team pool $335K, 80% range $125K to $895K
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $9K to $10K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $2K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 31.0%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Texas St: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Texas St | $10Kspeculative | $1K to $38K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | -1.0 | -2.2 to +0.0 | Sufficient evidence | -0.4 | -0.6 | +1.9range +1.6 to +2.2 | 1,060 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Fairfield | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.6 | -1.6 to +0.2 | Sufficient evidence | -1.6 | +0.9 | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9 | 682 | Season detail | |
| 2022 | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — | development: in model selection | No model-implied value is published: fewer than 300 on-court possessions, or the team’s games were outside the lineup audit. | Not applicable | |||||||
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology