Ahmad Nowell
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
386:41 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 44
- Minutes per game
- 8:47
- Points per game
- 3.4
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 1.1 / 0.8
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Per 40 minutes | 15.3 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| Season totals | 148 | 47 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 22 | 45 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 46–107 | 43.0% | 2.4 | 11.1 |
| 2P | 19–36 | 52.8%† | 0.8 | 3.7 |
| 3P | 27–71 | 38.0% | 1.6 | 7.3 |
| FT | 29–40 | 72.5% | 0.9 | 4.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.6% | 59.4% | 66.4% | 37.4% | 1.55 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Ahmad Nowell | Connecticut | 16Under 100 minutes | 6:07 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 23.1%† | 50.0%† | 44.2%† |
| 2026 Ahmad Nowell | VCU | 28 | 10:19 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 17.6 | 41.4% | 75.0% | 63.0%† |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
VCU · Mid and high major · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $18K
- 80% range $6K to $48K
- Median share of team pool
- 2.4%
- team pool $865K, 80% range $370K to $1.90M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $17K to $21K
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $6K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 17.8%
- Sufficient evidence
- Range driven by assumption, not data
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. Tier prior from anonymous surveys and sources, scaled so that all non-Power budgets sum to the national total the College Sports Commission reported paid for 2025-26 ($1,770,453,776 over 307 schools) less the Power 4 total, times a men's basketball share; weak anchor.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
VCU: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | VCU | $18Kspeculative | $6K to $48K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | +0.6 | -0.4 to +1.4 | Sufficient evidence | +2.0 | -1.4 | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.4 | 756 | Season detail | |
| 2025 | Connecticut | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +1.5 | +0.7 to +2.2 | Limited evidence | +0.9 | +0.6 | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5 | 321 | Limited evidence: 300 to 599 on-court possessions. Season detail |
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology