Evan Nelson
Only corroborated player-season records; not complete career coverage.
Observed career performance
1616:47 minutes logged
- Games logged
- 82
- Minutes per game
- 19:43
- Points per game
- 6.2
- Rebounds / assists per game
- 2.1 / 2.0
| Basis | Pts | Reb | Ast | Stl | Blk | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Per game | 6.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Per 40 minutes | 12.7 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Season totals | 512 | 174 | 163 | 60 | 5 | 120 | 111 |
| Shot | Made–att. | Pct | Att/G | Att/40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FG | 178–419 | 42.5% | 5.1 | 10.4 |
| 2P | 94–219 | 42.9% | 2.7 | 5.4 |
| 3P | 84–200 | 42.0% | 2.4 | 4.9 |
| FT | 72–84 | 85.7% | 1.0 | 2.1 |
| eFG% | Estimated TS% | 3PA / FGA | FTA / FGA | AST / TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5% | 56.1% | 47.7% | 20.0% | 1.36 |
Combined corroborated seasons only; not complete career coverage. † marks a rate on fewer attempts than the floor (field goal 100, three-point 50, free throw 25). Floors are descriptive, not model output. Definitions
Linked seasons
| Season | Team | G | MPG | Pts | Reb | Ast | Pts/40 | 3P% | FT% | TS% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 Evan Nelson | Harvard | 12 | 18:24 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 12.7 | 42.9%† | 75.0%† | 50.0%† |
| 2023 Evan Nelson | Harvard | 24 | 29:23 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.4 | 12.2 | 39.8% | 82.9% | 53.2% |
| 2025 Evan Nelson | Harvard | 22 | 28:02 | 9.8 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 14.0 | 45.3% | 96.3% | 62.8% |
| 2026 Evan Nelson | Arizona | 24Under 100 minutes | 3:06 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 5.9 | 33.3%† | — | 45.8%† |
Career identity corroborated by repeated game, team and individual-statistic matches. Unlinked seasons are excluded.
Speculative compensation · 2025–26β
Arizona · Power 4 · 2025–26 · a best guess at this player's part of the school's own revenue-sharing budget for men's basketball.
- Speculative best guess
- $25K
- 80% range $14K to $40K
- Median share of team pool
- 0.7%
- team pool $3.55M, 80% range $2.60M to $5.00M
- Across scenarios Z1 to Z4
- $25K in all four
- the elasticity disagreement is carried, not resolved
- Floor part
- $25K
- shared by every player with possessions
- Possession share
- 5.0%
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
- Floor only: below 300 possessions, no value estimate
Speculative best guess, not observed pay. It is not a contract, not an offer and not a market price, and it is unvalidated: no pay is held to check it against. Point is the median and the range is the 10th to 90th percentile of 4,000 joint draws of budget and player value; a mixture of assumptions, not a calibrated interval.
Budget anchor. House-settlement $20.5M cap (College Sports Commission, 2026-10-01) times a modelled utilisation of about 97 percent times a men's basketball share of about 18 percent (school statements and an industry study); Power 4 schools are at or near the cap nationally.
Assumptions. modelled pool; split by possession share times value over replacement; convexity; shared floor; replacement level; four elasticity scenarios; closure to the national total; opt-out list; exclusions. Each is a declared judgement, not an estimate. Numbers, anchors and checks
Not included. Third-party and collective NIL deals, including deals cleared through NIL Go. Non-cash benefits such as scholarship, cost of attendance, Alston awards and housing. Bonuses and incentive terms. Anything outside the school's own revenue-sharing channel.
Arizona: whole-roster table and pool · School finances (school-reported) · What-if calculator for this player
No revenue-sharing budget existed before the 2025–26 season, so no compensation figure is modelled for earlier seasons.
Model-implied value and speculative compensation by seasonβ
| Season | Team | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range | Split role | Net | Range | Evidence | Range graphic. Position on one axis | Offense | Defense | Wins above replacement | On-court possessions | Sample and flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Not applicable | $25Kspeculative, floor only | $14K to $40K | descriptive: not used in fit or gates | No model-implied value is published: fewer than 300 on-court possessions, or the team’s games were outside the lineup audit. | Not applicable | |||||||
| 2025 | Harvard | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | -0.8 | -2.1 to +0.5 | Sufficient evidence | +0.5 | -1.4 | +2.5range +1.9 to +3.2 | 2,103 | Season detail | |
| 2023 | Harvard | None: no budget that season | — | evaluation: examined, post hoc | +2.4 | +1.4 to +3.4 | Sufficient evidence | +0.5 | +1.9 | +3.7range +3.2 to +4.3 | 2,423 | Season detail | |
| 2022 | Harvard | None: no budget that season | — | development: in model selection | +0.1 | -0.9 to +1.0 | Sufficient evidence | +0.7 | -0.6 | Not computed for this season | 743 | ||
Open circle: limited evidence. Filled circle: sufficient evidence. Vertical line: zero. This table makes no claim about change over time, so it has no change column or trend. Seasons 2011 to 2017 have a point value but no range, so none is shown. Compensation exists for 2025–26 only; earlier rows say that no budget existed. NIL methodology · Compensation methodology